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MAIVENmodelmetrics

metric_proposal_win_rate

beta
metric table

Share of decided proposals that were won, by decision month and deal cut.

Definition

Win rate over decided proposals (won + lost), bucketed by the month the decision landed (`toStartOfMonth(decision_date)`) and the deal's segment, region, and rfx_type. `decided_count` counts every proposal that reached a won/lost decision; `won_count` counts the wins. `win_rate` is exposed as a formula measure (sum(won_count) / nullif(sum(decided_count), 0)) so it remains correct across any window. Pending and withdrawn proposals are excluded entirely — they are NOT counted as losses, and they do not appear in any month because their decision_date is NULL.

Watch out for
  • highTreating pending or withdrawn proposals as losses

    This metric considers only decided proposals (outcome in ('won','lost')). Pending and withdrawn proposals are excluded from both `decided_count` and `won_count` — they are not silently counted as losses. A denominator that includes pending deals understates the win rate.

  • mediumRecomputing win_rate by dividing summed columns client-side

    `win_rate` is a formula measure (sum(won_count) / nullif(sum( decided_count), 0)) — correct under any window. Dividing two already-aggregated outputs across a multi-month window yields a different (biased) number than the formula.

  • mediumBucketing by submitted month instead of decision month

    The grain is the decision month (`toStartOfMonth(decision_date)`), so a proposal lands in the month it was won/lost, not when it was submitted. For cycle-time-to-decision use the `proposal_economics` metric instead.

Questions this answers
  • “What was the proposal win rate over the last 6 months?”
  • “Which segments have the highest win rate this year?”
  • “How does win rate compare across RFP, RFQ and RFI by region?”
Related metrics
  • proposal_economics

    Carries margin and cycle-time-to-decision for the same decided proposals — pair with win_rate to see whether wins are profitable.

  • rfx_pipeline

    Upstream opportunity pipeline (count + est_value) that feeds the proposals this win rate is computed over.

6 of 6
Column
Type
Description
Tests · PII
decision_month
Date
Month bucket — `toStartOfMonth(decision_date)`. Grain + sort key.
1 test
segment
LowCardinality(String)
Deal segment — enterprise / mid / smb; `unknown` when unmapped. Dimension + sort key.
1 test
region
LowCardinality(String)
Deal region — NA / EMEA / APAC / LATAM; `unknown` when unmapped. Dimension + sort key.
1 test
rfx_type
LowCardinality(String)
RFx type — RFP / RFQ / RFI; `unknown` when unmapped. Dimension + sort key.
1 test
decided_count
UInt64
Count of decided proposals (outcome in ('won','lost')) in the bucket. The win-rate denominator.
1 test
won_count
UInt64
Count of won proposals in the bucket (is_won or outcome = 'won'). The win-rate numerator.
1 test